Thursday :: May 15, 2003

Current Polls Spell Trouble for GOP, Bush

by Steve

Don’t look now, but some new poll numbers show interesting things.

First, according to an Ipsos/Reid poll posted to, the Democrats have regained an edge in congressional preference for the first time since before the Iraq war. And this is after Bush’s victory tour and recent jet-setting to sell his flight-suit line of clothes and tax cuts. The poll shows that if the elections were held now, the Democrats have a 45-41 edge over the GOP, which reverses a 47-39 edge for the GOP just three weeks ago.

Second, almost all of the polls, except the always-reliable Fox poll, show gradual declines in Bush’s approval ratings, giving up large parts of his Iraq bump. Again, this is while he is doing to victory lap around the country and on our ships at sea.

Third, several polls show that voters’ pessimism and dissatisfaction with the direction of the country is trending upward again, erasing the Iraq bump in these indicators. In the right direction/wrong direction polls, both show drop-offs from their post-invasion highs, with the “wrong direction” numbers pulling significantly closer to the “right direction” indicators. And on consumer confidence, the ABC/Money Magazine consumer comfort index survey reflects a negative 24, which is in the same territory as it was just before the invasion. Again, this poll was taken during the victory lap. And there isn’t much to indicate that things will get better soon, as businesses indicated that they won’t be hiring or spending significantly soon, consumer spending is down, and the European economy heading into recession. And even the usually friendly media types are questioning the Bush economic strategy.

So is it not time for the Democrats to launch an attack on the Bush economy?

Steve :: 7:12 AM :: Comments (18) :: Digg It!