Clark Still Five Points Behind Dean in NH - Kerry Still Gaining
The overnight tracking poll from American Research Group in New Hampshire indicates a five point spread between Dean and Clark (28%-23%), with Kerry now up to 16%.
Dick Bennett's comments on the race:
The drop in ballot preference for Howard Dean has stabilized and women voters who have switched from Dean are giving John Kerry a lift at the expense of Wesley Clark.
While 71% of women likely to vote in the Democratic primary have a favorable opinion of Clark and while Dean leads Clark among men by just 1 percentage point (28% to 27%), Clark continues to trail Dean among women 28% to 19%. Women moving away from Dean are more likely to switch to Kerry. A total of 14% of men say they will vote for Kerry and 18% of women say they will vote for Kerry.
Based on Dick Gephardt's 1988 Iowa bounce, Kerry has regained enough pre-Iowa ballot strength to challenge Dean and Clark for the lead in New Hampshire should Kerry win in Iowa.