Tuesday :: Jul 13, 2004

Latest ABC News/Washington Post Poll Shows Tie, But Favorable News For Kerry


by Steve

With several major polls coming out over the last several days showing leads for Kerry/Edwards over Bush/Cheney, the most recent ABC News/Washington Post poll came out this morning showing a 46%-46% tie. The Post emphasized in its lead that Bush has regained a lead over Kerry in who is more trusted to deal with terrorism, yet the rest of the poll has good news for Kerry.

Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?

Kerry 51%
Bush 43%

Who do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Iraq?

Kerry 47%
Bush 47%

Who do you trust to do a better job handling education?

Kerry 50%
Bush 40%

Who do you trust to do a better job handling the US campaign against terrorism?

Bush 51%
Kerry 42%

And with a month or so of good economic news, Bush saw no gain in this poll in his approval ratings on handling the economy: (June numbers in parentheses)

Approve 45% (46%)
Disapprove 53% (53%)

This poll indicates that jobs and the economy are the number one issue for 29% of those polled, with Iraq (19%) and the war against terrorism (19%) coming in second, and education (12%) and health care (12%) third.

More interestingly, after several months of good media accounts about an improving economy, the poll finds that voters still donít see marked changes in the economy from what they felt back in April.

Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying the same?
(April results in parentheses)

Getting better 35% (36%)
Getting worse 29% (28%)
Staying the same 35% (35%)

Voters are seeing Kerry more favorably than before, and closer to their concerns than Bush.

So, if you are Rove, the solution is simple: Keep the voters in fear of another terrorist attack right up until the election and ride it out like you rode Iraq to victory in the 2002 midterm elections.

Steve :: 12:40 PM :: Comments (5) :: Digg It!