Tuesday :: Aug 17, 2004

Bush Will Lose the Jewish And Muslim Voting Blocks To Kerry By Large Margins


by Steve

Well, so much for Karl Rove’s efforts to capture the Jewish and Muslim voting blocks in this election.

A just-released survey demonstrates that despite a four-year effort, GOP attempts to woo the Jewish vote for President Bush have failed, with likely Jewish voters preferring Senator Kerry over President Bush by a whopping 75-22 percent margin -- essentially identical to the 76-21 percent margin by which the same respondents voted for then-Vice President Al Gore over then-Governor Bush in 2000.

President Bush is deeply unpopular among American Jews. President Bush is seen as favorable by only 20 percent of respondents; a stunning 73 percent see him unfavorably. Conversely, Senator Kerry is seen as favorable by 59 percent of the respondents, while only 27 percent view him unfavorably.

An amazing 77 percent of respondents believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. The two greatest concerns of respondents are in the areas of the economy and jobs, and terrorism and national security -- both areas in which Senator Kerry is strongly preferred by American Jews, according to this survey.

"These results indicate that after four years of President Bush, Karl Rove, and various GOP operatives spending vast resources -- both time and money -- in their effort to target the Jewish vote, they've clearly failed," said National Jewish Democratic Council Executive Director Ira N. Forman. "Since the 2000 election, there has been a drumbeat of national media attention over the perennial question of whether the Jewish vote is in play -- and time and time again, we have said that it is not in play to any significant degree. This poll's findings bear out our expectations: when Election Day comes, the overwhelming majority of American Jews will support Senator John Kerry, just as they have strongly supported the Democratic candidate in national elections dating back to the 1920's," Forman added.

Another poll shows that Muslim support for Bush has collapsed, again after years of effort by Rove.

A new poll by a prominent civil rights group suggests that support for President Bush among Muslim voters has eroded so swiftly that Muslim votes for Sen. John Kerry could swing the presidential election in key battleground states.

Of the nearly 1,200 Muslim voters surveyed in June by the Council for American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), 55 percent said they had voted for Bush in 2000, but only 3 percent of those same voters would vote to re-elect him.

A full 54 percent of those surveyed said they would vote for Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic nominee, and 26 percent said they would vote for independent Ralph Nader.

The drop in Muslim support for the president is dramatic—exit polls in the 2000 election indicated that Bush carried between 70 percent and 80 percent of the Muslim vote.

Muslim activists say their community may carry enough weight in key states like Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania to swing the vote for Kerry. CAIR has launched voter registration drives in California, Florida, Ohio and Texas, hoping to have 1.5 million Muslims registered to vote in November.

Eugene Bird, president of the Council for the National Interest, a Middle East watchdog group, said Bush won Florida—a state that was decided by 537 votes—with 64,000 more Muslim votes than Democrat Al Gore.

Nihad Awad, CAIR's executive director, said the nation's 5 million to 7 million Muslims have mainstream views on domestic issues, but have been turned away by the Bush administration's war on terrorism.

Good work Karl.

Steve :: 11:20 AM :: Comments (19) :: Digg It!