Friday :: Sep 24, 2004

Et Tu, Arnaud?

by pessimist

Arnaud de Borchgrave is editor at large of The Washington Times and of United Press International, and he writes some very eye opening (for a wrong-wing Moonie GOP propaganda organ) comments that Bu$hCo won't like much, especially coming on the heels of Iyad Allawi's talking parrot act before Congress the other day.

De Borchgrave spoke with intelligence officials from five European nations and came up with these John F. Kerry talking points:

Everything now undertaken in Iraq is palliative to tide the administration over until after the elections.

The "war on terror" is a misnomer tantamount to rhetorical disinformation.

Iraq was a diversion from the war on a global movement that was never anchored in Baghdad.

They had a lot more to say.

The intelligence officials had this to say about Bu$hCo goals for a democratic Iraq:

The neocon objectives for restructuring Iraq into a functioning model democracy were a bridge too far. They were never realistic.

The once magnificent obsession about building a model Arab democracy in Iraq now has the potential of a Vietnam-type quagmire.

A Vietnam Quagmire requires an enemy, and Bu$hCo policies have guaranteed just such a requirement:

Iraq has become a magnet for would-be Muslim jihadis the world over; it has greatly facilitated transnational terrorism.

The insurgency has mushroomed from 5,000 in the months following collapse of Saddam's regime to an estimated 20,000 today and still growing.

The U.S. occupation has lost control of large swatches of Iraq where the insurgency operates with virtual impunity.

To cope with the insurgency, the U.S. requires tenfold the rebel strength -- or some 200,000 as a bare minimum. Short of that, the insurgency will continue gaining momentum. The multiple is based on the British experience in Northern Ireland for a quarter-century as well as France's civil war in Algeria (1954-62), when nationalist guerrillas were defeated militarily, but won the war diplomatically. France deployed half a million men to defeat the fellaghas in Algeria.

The plan to train Iraqi military and security forces in time to cope with a budding insurgency before it spun out of control was stillborn.

Iraqi soldiers trained by the U.S. are complaining the equipment ordered by the U.S. from Ukraine being assigned to them gives them "second-class status."

Insurgents are targeting green Iraqi units and volunteers for training, and some have already defected to the rebels.

Charting a course out of the present chaos requires an open-ended commitment to maintain U.S. forces at the present level and higher through 2010 or longer.

These intelligence officials also note that the problem transcends US party politics. Regardless of whether John F. Kerry defeats Bu$hCo or not, this 'War on Terra' must note these conditions:

Terrorism is a weapons system that has been used time and again for the last 5,000 years. The root causes are the problem, not the weapon. Ignoring the causes guarantees escalation -- to weapons of mass destruction.

What is urgently needed, whether a Bush II administration or a Kerry White House is for the world's great democracies to meet at the summit to map a common strategy to confront a global challenge. The war on terrorism -- on the terrorists who have hijacked Islam -- is only one part of a common approach for (1) the defense of Western democracies and (2) the gradual transformation of an Arab world that must be assisted out of poverty, despair and defeat.

A war on terrorism without a global strategy, which must include funding major educational reforms in poor countries like Pakistan, where wannabe jihadis are still being churned out by the hundreds of thousands, could only lead to the gradual erosion of Western democratic structures.

Iraq does not facilitate a solution to the Mideast crisis. And without such a solution, the global terrorist movement will continue spreading.

These talking points go against much of the Bu$hCo international economic plans, which appear to be a way to enhance the commercial prospects for US multinational corporations by using modernized colonialization strategies. There is a rising opposition in the world's nations against the promotion of policies designed to enhance these prospects, because these economic policies tend to greatly increase the likelihood that the very causes of terrorism - poverty and despair - will lead to a defeatism, which in turn will create an atmosphere of desperation, one in which those with nothing to lose will seek an end to their pain and an improvement in their personal status through the mechanism of the

Last Great Act of Defiance

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pessimist :: 9:45 AM :: Comments (20) :: Digg It!