Monday :: Oct 9, 2006

Gallup Says Democrats Have 23-Point Lead Amongst Likely Voters Next Month


by Steve

As we get more distance from the initial Foley revelations, it seems to be getting worse and worse for the GOP. We find out today that both Gallup and now CNN are reporting that the generic ballot question amongst likely voters is pointing to a Democratic rout next month.

Four weeks before congressional elections, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Democrats hold a 23-point lead over GOP candidates. That's double the lead Republicans had a month before they seized control of Congress in 1994.
President Bush's approval rating was 37%, down from 44% in a Sept. 15-17 poll. The approval rating for Congress was 24%, down 5 points from last month.
[snip]
On the question of which party's candidate would receive their vote if the election were held today, Democrats held a 23-point lead over Republicans among every type of person questioned — likely voters, registered voters and adults. That's the largest lead Democrats have held among registered voters since 1978 and a jump from last month's 48%-48% split among likely voters.
Government corruption, Iraq and terrorism were the three most important issues to poll respondents. They said Democrats would do a better job on all three. The party had a 21-point advantage on handling corruption and a 17-point advantage on Iraq. A longstanding GOP advantage on terrorism vanished; Democrats had a 5-point edge. In other indicators:
• 57% of registered voters say their own representative should be re-elected, the lowest since just before the 1994 Republican House sweep.
• 56% said it was a mistake to send troops to Iraq while 40% said it was not — the biggest split in a year.
• Voters gave Democrats a 54%-28% advantage over Republicans concerning which party would handle gasoline prices better despite the recent drop in prices.

I don’t see anything in that list of issues where the GOP can recover in less than a month’s time. And if that number is really that large amongst likely voters, then the Senate is in play as well.

Get out your forks.

Steve :: 3:43 PM :: Comments (11) :: Digg It!