Tuesday :: Jul 10, 2007

The Flipping Point


by paradox

There are times in the weave of American politics when doing the right thing is extremely difficult for our representatives and calls upon character traits any money-grubbing media-besotted ego-bloated American politician hates to use: bravery, honesty, empathy, diligence to Christian principle. These behaviors aren’t rewarded in our corrupted corporate con job democracy, they certainly weren’t used to get elected and in normal times the charade of actually using them isn’t too hard to maintain, for the issues front-and-center to the American electorate just aren’t that urgent. [1]

Two issues are now squeezing Democrats with vicious pincers that cannot be evaded and force them to be their very best: stopping the war and impeaching Bush. For once mere flattery to principle and cowardly evasion in an absurdly broken media environment do not work at all in placating extremely motivated constituents who demand results, excuses aren’t ever accepted for failure on these white-hot urgent issues.

Democrats (in the eyes on the impeach and war-stop constituents) chose utter failure on impeachment and the war seven months ago, well before this Congressional term ever started: impeaching Bush wouldn’t even be discussed, and by not seizing the total initiative in stopping the war Democrats inevitably locked in an environment where they could be manipulated and fail. Pelosi and Reid gambled the war and impeachment weren’t their responsibility and blew that risk, urgency grows more fierce by the day to do something, but all they offer is status quo.

The great, searing problem with these choices is that Reid and Pelosi kept them hidden from the base, impeachment especially, in an insulting, haughty silence of contempt. The most committed, most passionate, most informed, most networked base constituents of the Democratic Party almost all want the war stopped or Bush impeached, or both. It’s not happening under any scenario and how these base voters react is a huge unknown and risk.

There is an alleged social phenomena described as “the tipping point,” a specific marker in time where a number of elements fuse together to initiate change in a sort of teeter-totter balance way, views on an issue fundamentally changed yet subtly, tipped over from changing variables.

There will come a day to every highly impassioned base Democratic voter who desperately wants the war stopped or Bush impeached when they have to accept, totally and with absolute finality, that’s it’s never going to happen. Never—Bush is going to walk off scot-free, lakes of blood at his feet, the war still raging on. That’s going to be a very, very bad day for that Democratic constituent, there isn’t anything remotely subtle or balanced about it, not with nuclear-charged war and impeachment failure to be dealt with. Not a tipping point, no, but a flipping point.

Cindy Sheehan recently went through it and turned on her own, just as Mary Scott O’Connor did years ago. I went through it and ranted Democrats were sycophants, assholes and dickheads (many bloggers don’t, but I need an editor), yet I was still in the party. Thankfully for the republic the flipping point won’t be as public or external for every base member, but don’t be fooled, forces of enormous power are going to rip and quake through at least half the Democratic base by the end of the year as impeachment and war failure are finally accepted. [2]

In the world Reid and Pelosi know no matter what they do approximately 21% of the populace will always vote for them, souls just like mine, the battered, weary, embittered Democratic base. The great question now before all of us is will the extremely powerful failures on impeachment and the war fundamentally change that environment? Will there be a “tipping point” in how the base behaves that could have a negative impact on the crucial 2008 election?

Of course: the Presidential race is now wide open to a third party slot that could take the Presidency from the Democrats, it’s theirs for the taking but true to form even those total chumps are risking it. Congress looks safe, but they won’t pick up nearly what they could have in the Senate.

One is sympathetic to the view Reid and Pelosi never could never have foreseen a summer that slapped them around with tipping points and flipping points, but that doesn’t change the reality that if they are denied and un-dealt with, ho-hum business as usual, enormous damage and risk will be inflicted upon the party and the country. After eight years of the heinous damage Bush and Cheney inflicted one shudders to think what the country and party will be like after that.

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[1] A perfect illustration of this abominable phenomena is one Senator Dianne Feinstein, D-CA, reported on this morning that “her jaw dropped” when she realized the current Farm Bill could actually have elements that served real American people, constituents, even, who could benefit from efforts “to improve childhood nutrition, public health, pollution problems, environmental quality and farmer incomes.” In the sick DC world of Dianne Feinstein it never occurred to her that the Farm Bill was anything other than a giveaway to powerful agricultural interests.

Thank you, Carol Ness and the San Francisco Chronicle.

[2] Two very good questions with precisely the same answer are going to initiate a lot of flipping points in the base: why has Henry Waxman been so freaking slow and so media-absent, and why won’t Gonzales (impeachment of a federal official might as well be taken out of the Constitution if Gonzales isn’t impeached) be removed from office?

Because to do so would naturally, inevitably lead to events that would scream impeachment for Bush and Cheney. Since impeachment won’t even be discussed Gonzales stays where he is, no matter how ludicrous and humiliating the situation becomes for country, and Waxman deliberately is stalling. Many flipping points initiated, indeed.

paradox :: 8:17 AM :: Comments (23) :: Digg It!