Tuesday :: Mar 4, 2008

Opinion Leaders

by Turkana

Many of the loudest voices in the shrillosphere have been crying for Hillary Clinton to drop out of the presidential race. Even before today's elections. Their rationales are pliable, but it really all boils down to their love of Barack Obama and their hatred of Clinton. Of course, many of these nimble wits also accuse Clinton of having released the photo of Obama in Somali dress, of having implied that she thinks he might be Muslim, of having endorsed John McCain over Obama, and of having doctored images of Obama to make him look darker, and presumably more sinister. And that's just in the past week! Needless to say, were Ken Starr surreptitiously blogging, he would find a safe haven on some of the most popular liberal blogs.

So, I'm on the record as saying that if she doesn't win Ohio, and the popular vote in Texas, Clinton's campaign is finished. Should she not win both, I see no path for her to win the nomination. Even if she does win both, I think her path will remain an uphill climb, but I also think the momentum will have turned, possibly dramatically. But if she only gets a split, I don't see the purpose of her remaining in the race. If she follows the lead of John Edwards, and takes the high road, talking about issues, I wouldn't find fault. But if she stays in the race to continue attacking Obama, I think it would be detrimental to the Party. But here's the fun part: my opinion doesn't matter. Nor does that of everyone who agrees with me. Nor does that of everyone who already had been calling for her to drop out. We are, apparently, very much in the minority.

A new ABC/Washington Post Poll:

Democrats by more than a 2-1 margin say Hillary Clinton should stay in the presidential race even if she loses either the Texas or Ohio primary on Tuesday. But if she fails in both, fewer than half say they'd want her to fight on.

Many, in that case, have another idea for Clinton: the vice presidency.

The lead overall is now Barack Obama's. With his string of 11 consecutive primary and caucus victories, Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents by a 50-43 percent margin would like to see him nominated. That's a remarkable reversal: Clinton held a vast lead in ABC News/Washington Post polls before the Iowa caucuses. Campaigns clearly matter.

Despite the overall preference for Obama, Democrats by a very wide 67-29 percent say Clinton should stay in the race even if she loses either Texas or Ohio. But if she were to lose both, far fewer say they'd want her to continue - 45 percent, with 51 percent saying otherwise.

We in the blogs are all very smart. Our opinions also often have nothing to do with those of people in the real world.

Turkana :: 7:31 AM :: Comments (40) :: Digg It!