Comments: Democratic Primary Preview: Georgia, Ohio, Texas

test

Posted by at October 8, 2003 04:42 PM

CPJ
Interesting that you would think that Lieberman would do well in GA. I really don't see him having much of a constituency here. I don't think that he will appeal to the rural voters or even the city dwellers. He might have some support in the suburbs.

Posted by Ga6thDem at October 8, 2003 05:20 PM

I don't actually think Lieberman will do well, as I expect his campaign will be all but folded by this time. Basically, as I look at the Tsongas vote, I wonder who it would go to: Lieberman, Dean, or Kerry. Kerry I see as most analogous to Dukakis (sorry, I know you like Kerry - don't take it personally!) and Dukakis' performance was well below Tsongas, which is pretty striking when you consider the ultimate outcome in 1988 and 1992. I use Brown and to a lesser extent Hart to gage Dean's strength, and I don't see much there. So, Lieberman gets third by default. I think you are right in that his primary appeal will be in the suburbs, and to a certain extent among African-Americans.

Posted by CA Pol Junkie at October 8, 2003 05:30 PM

CPJ
I actually would say that Dean is more like Dukakis(okay don't flame me) and Brown. Both ex-governors and Dukakis, of course, being governor from a NE state. The one impression that I get from these polls is that Senators from the NE tend to do better than Govs. Govs. tend to do well if they are southern only in GA.

Posted by Ga6thDem at October 8, 2003 06:00 PM

Theres a factor here: Dean is going to have a ton of money when Federal matching funds come out. He must be bringing people onto the campaign who will know how to spend that in the primary states.

Boy, that debate was awful the other night. Lieberman and Edwards should go as well as the Alan Keyes Democrats (Sharpton, Mosely-Braun and Kucinich) but none of them will.

Posted by Carol at October 10, 2003 09:25 PM

when is the democratic primary in ohio?

Posted by Rachel at December 1, 2003 12:48 PM