Comments: Ignore The ABC/Post Poll: Time Says There's Trouble In The GOP Base

Thanks. I had only read the headline and it made me a little worried.

Posted by paradox at November 5, 2006 12:46 PM

Does anyone know that the party samples were in the RI Mason Dixon poll showing Chaffee ahead by 1%?

Posted by MarkAtl at November 5, 2006 02:04 PM

The GOP are merely very sore losers. They couldn't win in 2000, 2002, and 2004, so they Diebolded our democracy and turned the vote "counting" over to the Electronically Smirked and Stolen (ES&S)Corporation. Remember how GOP Chairman Ken Mehlman wanted to outlaw exit polling after the GOP electronically flipped seven million Kerry votes into Bush votes on Election night, November 2004? Kenny Boy just wanted to cover up any remaining evidence of GOP electronic election theft.

Now, two days before the election, they are resorting to rigging the polls. Somehow we are to believe that folks are switching back to supporting the Republicans because folks have heard about that anti-gay Preacher guy turning out to be meth-using fag? Or would it be because folks heard about how the Bush Administration placed nuclear bomb infomation on the Internet, in Arabic no less? That sounds like a real vote grabber...

Bush: git outta town by sundown…
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___o____
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(this graphic is supposed to show a trail towards the setting sun)
Cheers.

Posted by james k. sayre at November 5, 2006 03:20 PM

It worries me that this kind of skewed reporting sets the stage for a remarkable headline story on Wednesday morning on how the republicans turned out the vote and still control the Senate and the House.

On page 8 will be stories about quirky voting machinery.

I hope I am wrong. I want to be celebrating change on Wednesday at long last, but I fear I may need to be in the streets.

Posted by angel at November 5, 2006 03:39 PM

I agree with angel. Pliant 'news' agencies appear to be setting up a plausable comeback strategy. A little Dieboldin' a little churcher dupein' everything gonna be all right in Bushland.

Get out and vote tuesday or the street will be all that's left.

Posted by herbal tee at November 5, 2006 04:10 PM

I believe this Pew poll fits into the same vein as the ABC/Post Poll.

Heavily weighted towards Republicans - but only by virtue of making them even with Democrats - which doesn't seem right at all according to recent experience on the ground.

Still... GOTV!

Posted by Michael Berger at November 5, 2006 04:32 PM

Michael,
The problem with the Pew poll is the liberal/conservative ratio. In 2004, exit polls showed 21% liberal/34% conservative. This Pew poll says likely voters will be 16% liberal/39% conservatives. That's a joke. Recalibrate it for ideology and there's no narrowing at all. The Party ID is just a consequence. Note also that many Independents they sampled are probably also conservative. So the "tightening" among Indies is probably oversampling conservative Independents, not actual shifts.

Ideology shifts less than Party ID. Liberals are furious and ready to vote. Conservatives are less so. But even if enthusiasm is the same as 2004, this Pew poll is way off.

Posted by Elrod at November 5, 2006 07:57 PM

That Chafee poll is bullshit. There's no way he's overcome a ten point or more lead in a few weeks. Nothing has happened in that campaign to warrant such a change.

Posted by Duckman GR at November 5, 2006 10:45 PM
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